Friday, August 25, 2023

The idea that a deal with Moscow will bring peace in Ukraine is based on very flimsy assumptions: FP

 Recently, an article was published by Foreign Policy that shed light on the dubious idea that a diplomatic agreement with Moscow would lead to a peaceful resolution of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Although the article did not provide detailed information about these assumptions, it hinted at their fragile and uncertain nature. Ultimately, the article dismissed them as delusional, implying that this approach is unlikely to succeed. This highlights the need for alternative strategies that can effectively address the complex geopolitical issues at play in this conflict.

 In the midst of the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, a recent analysis from CSIS has shed light on the underlying roots of this complicated issue. According to this report, the conflict extends far beyond NATO's involvement with Ukraine and instead stems from Moscow's overarching goal of asserting its political, military, and economic dominance over its neighboring country.

 This revelation highlights the complexity of the situation at hand and emphasizes the need for careful, nuanced diplomacy in order to achieve lasting peace. With so many layers of history and politics at play, it is imperative that all parties involved approach this crisis with thoughtfulness and open-mindedness in order to find a sustainable solution for all involved.

 The article suggests that the Russian government's determined efforts to bring Ukraine back into its sphere of influence reveal a larger underlying issue in the ongoing conflict, which goes beyond just Ukraine's possible inclusion in NATO.

 This indicates a deeper geopolitical struggle between Russia and the West, with each side vying for control and dominance over their respective spheres of influence. The situation is complex and multifaceted, involving historical tensions, economic interests, and strategic alliances. However, it is clear that the outcome of this conflict will have far-reaching implications for the region and beyond, as it has already resulted in significant political upheaval, human suffering, and international tensions.

 In short, the article argues that the conflict in Ukraine is not simply a local or regional issue but rather a global one that demands careful attention and analysis from policymakers and scholars alike.

 According to the research conducted by RAND, a successful resolution of a war requires both parties involved to share the belief that peace would bring them more benefits than continuing hostility. However, if one side holds a pessimistic view about the possibility of achieving peace or has an optimistic outlook regarding the advantages of ongoing fighting, then this can impede negotiations and lead to prolonged conflicts where both sides become firmly entrenched in their respective positions.

 It is therefore essential for both parties to have a positive outlook towards peace and be willing to compromise in order to achieve lasting peace and stability. This highlights the importance of diplomacy and negotiation in resolving conflicts, as it provides a platform for constructive dialogue and facilitates mutual understanding between opposing sides. Ultimately, only through cooperation and collaboration can we hope to achieve lasting peace in our world today.



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