Pakistan’s economic stability looks better than it did a year ago. Inflation is falling. The current account has improved. The rupee is calmer. Foreign exchange reserves are no longer at crisis levels. On paper, the emergency has passed. But stability built on weak demand is not recovery. It is compression. The numbers are improving because the economy has slowed down sharply. People are spending less. Businesses are borrowing less. Imports have fallen because economic activity itself has fallen. The system looks stable because it is under pressure. The Current Account Improvement: A Closer Look Pakistan’s current account deficit has narrowed significantly. That is one of the strongest indicators of external stability. The reason, however, matters. Imports have dropped because: High interest rates reduced business expansion Currency depreciation made foreign goods expensive Household purchasing power weakened Consumer demand for durable goods collapsed Exports have not surged dra...
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